Ampere Analysis has revised its country-level theatrical box office forecasts to reflect the impact of the global COVID-19 pandemic. 

• Global box office revenues are forecast to reach $36.4bn in 2020, 18% lower than the previous estimate.
• Year-on-year, this represents a global downturn of 14% in 2020, compared to  2019
• Box office revenues in 2021 will return to growth, increasing 15% over 2020, to $41.9bn
• The impact of COVID-19 in 2020 will be felt throughout the forecast period owing to: 
  • A temporary pause in new screen additions in 2020.
  • Cinema closures in mature markets accelerating existing declines in admissions.
  • Disruption to film production and release schedules.
  • Forced changes to consumer consumption habits and film distribution channels.
• By 2025 the global theatrical market will have grown to $46.7bn, albeit still lower than previous forecasts.

These forecasts are based on an assumed return to normal operations within 6 weeks. Should that not materialise then these forecasts will be revised downwards again.

For more detail please go to the full report.